TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 11:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Buffalo Bills will score over 35.5 points in their game against the Detroit Lions. Currently, the probability of Buffalo scoring over 35.5 points is 70.0% on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by the final score of the Detroit vs Buffalo Pro Football game, with the market resolving to Yes if Buffalo scores over 42.5 points, as defined by the resolution source. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve the day after the originally scheduled game date of Sep 17, 2026, on September 18, 2026.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by either Buffalo or Detroit in the Pro Football game scheduled for September 17, 2026. For any given market, if the specified team scores more points than the stated threshold (e.g., Buffalo over 3.5 points), the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the team scores 3.5 or fewer points (for a 'over' market), the market resolves to 'No.' All thresholds are evaluated independently, meaning each market has its own distinct resolution criterion. The governing league's official score will determine all resolutions. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the diverse perspectives of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the event draws nearer, the odds on Kalshi may converge with or diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds in their accuracy, especially closer to the event date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes, and the prices of these contracts determine the implied probabilities. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order book are visible on the platform, allowing traders to assess the available liquidity and potential price movements. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective beliefs of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals for both Detroit and Buffalo are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released following the completion of the game. Any adjustments or corrections to the official statistics will be taken into account during the resolution process. Traders holding contracts on the correct team total outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries to either Detroit or Buffalo would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence scoring and therefore move the market. Major news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could also play a role. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps following expert analysis or prominent media coverage, could affect trading activity and alter the prices in this market.