TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 11:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Buffalo will win their game against Detroit by more than 2.5 points. Currently, the probability of Buffalo winning by over 2.5 points on Kalshi is 93.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Detroit vs Buffalo Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 17, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Buffalo wins by more than 20.5 points, with final resolution expected around September 18, 2026.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the Detroit vs Buffalo Pro Football game scheduled for September 17, 2026. If Buffalo wins by a margin exceeding any of the specified thresholds—from 1.5 points up to 20.5 points—the corresponding 'Buffalo wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Detroit wins by a margin exceeding any of the specified thresholds—from 1.5 points up to 14.5 points—the corresponding 'Detroit wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. No affiliation or endorsement by the governing league or its trademarks is implied. The outcomes are strictly determined by the official game result.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as prediction markets can incorporate information and analysis from a broader range of sources than sportsbooks. However, as the event nears, these odds tend to converge as more information becomes available and the market becomes more efficient.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The closer the spread gets to the actual game result, the more valuable the winning contracts become. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly liquid and informative market.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Detroit versus Buffalo game. The market will settle to 100 if the final point spread matches a contract’s spread, and to 0 if it does not. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency in the resolution process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Detroit or Buffalo teams would likely cause shifts in the spread. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced by either team could also move the market. Finally, large volume trades from informed participants could signal changing sentiment and lead to price fluctuations in this market.