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Closed: Sep 17, 11:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi predicts whether Josh Allen will rush for 30+ yards in the Detroit vs Buffalo professional football game. Currently, the probability of Josh Allen achieving 30+ rushing yards is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on whether Jahmyr Gibbs records 100+ rushing yards in the game originally scheduled for September 17, 2026, as determined by the official game statistics. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the originally scheduled game date of September 17, 2026, on September 18, 2026.
All markets resolve based on whether Jahmyr Gibbs records the specified number of rushing yards or more in the Detroit vs Buffalo professional football game scheduled for September 17, 2026. If Gibbs is active for the game but does not take a snap, all markets settle to the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Gibbs takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—each market settles based strictly on the total rushing yards he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds, ensuring consistent resolution criteria regardless of the yardage level specified.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perceptions, while this market aggregates the views of numerous independent traders. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison. Discrepancies between the two can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from price differences. It’s important to note that both represent probabilities, but are formed through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage statistics from the Detroit versus Buffalo game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual rushing yards achieved during the game. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. The market's resolution is based on official data, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning contracts.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a major catalyst, as would changes in weather forecasts predicting rain or snow. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or offensive line changes could also shift expectations. Furthermore, any significant news regarding player performance in prior games, or adjustments to defensive schemes by either team, could impact trading activity. Overall team health and any late-breaking news pertaining to the game itself are the most likely drivers of movement in this market.