TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 8:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming football game between Detroit and Buffalo. It includes scenarios where either team scores first, or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including any overtime periods.
The event determines whether Buffalo, Detroit, or neither team scores the first touchdown in the Pro Football game originally scheduled for September 17, 2026. All touchdowns—including those by offensive, defensive, or special teams units—count towards resolution, even if scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market’s prices are determined by actual trading activity. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price for that outcome will rise, potentially offering better value than what's available at a sportsbook. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing information or risk assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly, reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders involved in the Detroit versus Buffalo game.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the Detroit versus Buffalo game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an accurate and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the information is officially verified.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key offensive players on either the Detroit or Buffalo teams would likely cause shifts in the probabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest unfavorable conditions for passing, could also impact the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or player matchups could lead to adjustments in trader sentiment. Unexpected pre-game reports or even social media buzz surrounding specific players could also contribute to movement in this market.