TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 11:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in a specific football game, focusing on whether certain athletes or units surpass predetermined fantasy point thresholds. The outcomes depend entirely on the actual statistical contributions of participants during the match.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points scored by specified players or team defense units in the full game (including overtime) between Detroit and Buffalo, using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system. A "Yes" outcome occurs if the designated participant exceeds their respective fantasy point threshold. Players who do not play or lack a fantasy-point value assigned by Sleeper are considered to have scored zero points. The official fantasy-point totals published by Sleeper at expiration are used for resolution, with no post-expiration adjustments or rounding applied. Scoring includes points from passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, defensive/special teams plays, and allows negative points for interceptions, missed kicks, and opponent scoring levels for defense units.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it might indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome or an opportunity for arbitrage. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a particular outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price is determined by the forces of supply and demand, reflecting the collective beliefs of all participants. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are wrong.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total fantasy points scored by players in the Detroit vs Buffalo game will be used to determine the winning contract. This will be based on standard fantasy point scoring rules, as defined by major fantasy sports providers. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market before Sep 18, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes in team lineups for either the Detroit or Buffalo teams would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected weather forecasts that could affect the game's conditions could also move the market. Furthermore, updates on player performance or coaching strategies leading up to the game, as well as general sentiment shifts in public opinion, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.