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Detroit vs Buffalo: 1st Touchdown
kalshi

What is the result of Detroit vs Buffalo?

Volume:
$5,960,887

Josh Allen

 - Kalshi

Josh Allen - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 18, 2026

Closed: Sep 17, 8:27 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Josh Allen

View
100%
89%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$759,480
N/A
N/A
$686,586
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dalton Kincaid

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$639,967
N/A
N/A
$622,929
Settled
No
kalshi

Sam LaPorta

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$596,857
N/A
N/A
$585,497
Settled
No
kalshi

Dawson Knox

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$440,609
N/A
N/A
$437,724
Settled
No
kalshi

James Cook III

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$365,794
N/A
N/A
$349,280
Settled
No
kalshi

Jared Goff

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$361,738
N/A
N/A
$333,464
Settled
No
kalshi

Isaac TeSlaa

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$330,521
N/A
N/A
$327,391
Settled
No
kalshi

Amon-Ra St. Brown

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$326,818
N/A
N/A
$320,493
Settled
No
kalshi

Khalil Shakir

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$323,404
N/A
N/A
$321,373
Settled
No
kalshi

Jameson Williams

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$299,596
N/A
N/A
$295,143
Settled
No
kalshi

DJ Moore

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$289,766
N/A
N/A
$282,551
Settled
No
kalshi

Frank Gore Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$271,016
N/A
N/A
$270,783
Settled
No
kalshi

Keon Coleman

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$233,501
N/A
N/A
$229,665
Settled
No
kalshi

Jahmyr Gibbs

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$193,638
N/A
N/A
$183,459
Settled
No
kalshi

BUF Bills D/ST

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$96,677
N/A
N/A
$79,059
Settled
No
kalshi

Joshua Palmer

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$96,640
N/A
N/A
$91,218
Settled
No
kalshi

Brock Wright

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$81,076
N/A
N/A
$81,041
Settled
No
kalshi

DET Lions D/ST

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$63,628
N/A
N/A
$54,192
Settled
No
kalshi

Sione Vaki

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$54,223
N/A
N/A
$54,209
Settled
No
kalshi

No Touchdown

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$49,143
N/A
N/A
$48,349
Settled
No
kalshi

Jackson Hawes

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$46,231
N/A
N/A
$46,193
Settled
No
kalshi

Ray Davis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40,562
N/A
N/A
$39,629
Settled
No
Total markets: 22

Intro

This market tracks whether Josh Allen will score the first touchdown in the Detroit vs Buffalo professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to this outcome. Resolution will depend on the first scoring play of the game, specifically if the Buffalo Bills D/ST scores first, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the Detroit vs Buffalo game on September 17, 2026, as the opening drive will immediately signal the likely resolution of this market.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on which team's defensive unit scores the first touchdown in the Detroit vs Buffalo game scheduled for September 17, 2026. If a defensive unit is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a unit takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market resolves according to whether that unit scores the first touchdown. If no touchdowns are scored in the game, the No Touchdown market resolves to Yes and all other specified markets resolve to No.

Frequently asked questions

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and expert analysis. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the game’s outcome. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – both sets of odds will adjust, but the speed and magnitude of those adjustments can vary. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities as the event approaches, especially when compared to early sportsbook offerings.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing different players scoring the first touchdown. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that player’s likelihood of scoring first. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price represents the collective assessment of all participants. The more volume traded on a particular outcome, the more liquid and reliable the price becomes, providing a strong signal of market sentiment.

This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player officially scored the first touchdown in the Detroit versus Buffalo game, according to official game statistics. The resolution will be based on the official game records and will be verified against credible public sources. The outcome will be determined by the first touchdown scorer, regardless of whether it was a rushing, passing, or special teams play. The market will then settle accordingly.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key offensive players for either team, would have a substantial impact on the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the market, as they affect passing and running game strategies. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also shift market sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could cause traders to reassess their positions and adjust the prices in this market.