TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 10:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the points a team needs to score for the market to resolve positively.
The markets resolve based on whether Buffalo or Detroit scores above specified point thresholds in the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 17, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different point total benchmark for each team; if the team's first-half score exceeds the threshold, the respective market resolves to Yes. The governing body's official scoring rules apply, and Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league. All trademarks and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate forecasts, especially when there’s significant public interest. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and often serve as a useful benchmark for comparison. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, and the influence of public perception.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice-versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence price discovery, and the platform facilitates a dynamic adjustment of probabilities based on real-time demand. This creates a transparent and efficient pricing mechanism for predicting the first half team totals.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official first half team totals for both the Detroit and Buffalo games will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will be able to view the final results on Kalshi following the completion of the first half of the game and subsequent verification of the data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. News regarding key player injuries or changes in team strategy for either Detroit or Buffalo would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected weather conditions impacting the game's style could also play a role. Furthermore, any shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could affect trading activity. Late-breaking news about team morale or coaching decisions could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.