TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 5, 3:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Texas Rangers, scheduled for July 5 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Texas Rangers, scheduled for July 5 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers is winning the game at the conclusion of the 5th inning. If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Draw". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one price outcomes based on trader belief and capital allocation. For early-inning outcomes, prediction markets may react faster to lineup changes or weather updates since traders profit directly from accuracy. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception differs from professional oddsmaking.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares of each outcome, with the share price reflecting the implied probability of that team winning the first five innings. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing into one outcome, the higher its price climbs. You can enter at any time before the market closes, and your position's value updates continuously as new trades occur. This continuous pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the latest information and trader conviction.
This market resolves around Jul 5, 2026, once the first five innings of the game are complete and the final score is verifiable from credible public sources. The winner is determined by which team has the higher run total after exactly five innings of play. No extra innings or tie-breaker rules apply—the outcome is straightforward and confirmed as soon as official scoring is available from the league.
Several factors can shift odds before first pitch: lineup announcements, injury updates to key batters or pitchers, weather conditions that favor one team's style, and recent offensive or defensive trends. Trading volume and sharp money flowing into one side can also accelerate price movement. As game time approaches, late-breaking news—such as a starting pitcher change or a player being scratched—often triggers rapid repricing. Monitor team news and weather forecasts closely to spot opportunities before the market adjusts.