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Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers
kalshi
predict
polymarket

Who will win Detroit Tigers vs Texas Rangers?

Volume:
$4,836,489

Texas

 - Kalshi

Texas - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 3, 2026

Closed: Jul 2, 11:29 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Texas

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,551,930
N/A
N/A
$811,890
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$136,808
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$62,256
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$40,452
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,129
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,934
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,722
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$977
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$497
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$439
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$320
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$291
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$277
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$181
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$18
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Detroit

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,498,059
N/A
N/A
$1,576,714
Settled
No
polymarket

Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$519,365
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$3,983
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 14.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,196
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 32

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of an MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Texas Rangers scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 8:05 PM ET, including both moneyline and spread betting outcomes. Across Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket, the aggregated consensus shows Texas Rangers at the -5.5 spread with 100.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by official MLB scores. Watch for the game result on July 2, 2026, as this marks the event window during which the outcome will be settled across all platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Detroit and Texas wins resolve to Yes, leaving no defined outcome for a No resolution. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as specified.Hero tip: Trade Polymarket and Predict moneyline markets with confidence—they have clear, consistent resolution logic. Avoid Kalshi moneyline until the platform issues a clarification or correction. The first-inning prop is safe across all platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to team name (Detroit Tigers or Texas Rangers). Tie or full cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Postponed games remain open until completion. Primary source: official MLB statistics within 24 hours, fallback to credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi: Moneyline states 'If Detroit wins... resolves to Yes' and 'If Texas wins... resolves to Yes'. No condition for No resolution is defined. This creates a logical impossibility for a binary market.
  • Predict: Moneyline resolves to team name (Detroit Tigers or Texas Rangers). Tie or full cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Postponed games remain open until completion. Primary source: official MLB statistics within 24 hours, fallback to credible reporting consensus.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Texas Rangers, scheduled for July 2 at 8:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

This event covers the Detroit vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 8:05 PM EDT. Resolution is determined by the winning team in the actual game played. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and resolve after the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. Should the game be cancelled entirely or rescheduled more than two days after the original date, markets resolve to a fair price determined in accordance with standard resolution procedures.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Texas Rangers, scheduled for July 2 at 8:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they serve different audiences. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus to discover true probability. This market reflects what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, often incorporating real-time injury reports, lineup changes, and public sentiment faster than traditional books adjust. Comparing this market's odds to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value opportunities, especially if one venue lags behind breaking news or underweights certain factors.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which naturally produces price variation. Polymarket may have deeper liquidity or more active participation from certain trader groups, while Kalshi could reflect a distinct user base with different information or risk appetite. Timing lags, platform-specific incentives, and withdrawal policies also influence how quickly each venue responds to breaking news. Savvy traders exploit these gaps by identifying which platform is mispriced relative to the other, gradually narrowing the spread over time.

Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements, weather updates, and recent team performance trends. A star player's absence or return can shift odds significantly, as can unexpected lineup adjustments announced before first pitch. Betting action from sharp money or large institutional traders often moves prices ahead of public awareness. Historical head-to-head matchups, pitching matchups, and home-field advantage also influence trader positioning. Monitor team social media, beat reporters, and injury reports closely—this market is highly responsive to new information, so early movers often capture the best prices.