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406,065

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Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros
kalshi
predict
polymarket

Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros

Volume:
$4,063,279

Detroit

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 16, 2026

Closed: Jun 15, 11:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Detroit

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,607,502
N/A
N/A
$839,600
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$440,415
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros

View
N/A
N/A
—
$2,595
$30,059
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$162,710
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$7,572
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,295
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$6,868
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,924
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5,537
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,670
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$1,291
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$842
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$746
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$604
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$288
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$9
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Houston

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,770,983
N/A
N/A
$1,081,438
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,013
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,369
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$967
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 29

Intro

This market tracks which team will win the Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros matchup scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT. Across Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket, the aggregated consensus shows 99.0% probability for the leading outcome, with resolution determined by official MLB records. Watch for the game result on June 15, 2026, as this date marks both the event window and the trigger for market settlement across all platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's winner market contains a logical contradiction: both Detroit win and Houston win are stated to resolve to Yes, which is impossible in a binary winner-take-all market. Additionally, Kalshi lacks explicit edge-case handling for postponement, cancellation, and ties, while Predict and Polymarket provide clear guidance.Hero tip: Treat Kalshi's winner market as unresolvable and avoid trading it. Predict and Polymarket's Market 1 (winner) are logically consistent and aligned. Polymarket's Market 2 (first inning run) is a separate outcome metric and should not be used as a proxy for the winner market.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Binary winner market: resolves to Detroit Tigers if they win, Houston Astros if they win. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation or tie resolves 50-50. Primary source: Official MLB statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus.
  • Polymarket (Market 1): Binary winner market: resolves to Detroit Tigers if they win, Houston Astros if they win. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation or tie resolves 50-50. Primary source: Official MLB statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus.
  • Kalshi: CRITICAL FLAW: States 'If Detroit wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Houston wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This is logically contradictory for a binary market. No explicit edge-case handling provided.
  • Polymarket (Market 2): Separate outcome metric: resolves to Yes if any run scores in the 1st inning, No if no runs score. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation resolves 50-50. Primary source: Official MLB statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus. This is NOT a winner market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Houston Astros, scheduled for June 15 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Detroit vs Houston professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 8:10 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Houston Astros, scheduled for June 15 at 8:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Predict may show different implied probabilities for Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros due to variations in user base, liquidity depth, fee structures, and trading incentives. Polymarket traders may include more sophisticated participants or different geographic cohorts, shifting consensus. Predict's smaller or differently composed community can produce distinct price signals. Liquidity imbalances mean large trades move prices differently on each platform. These gaps create arbitrage opportunities and reflect the decentralized nature of prediction markets, where no single price is enforced across venues.

Several factors could shift Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros odds before the game. Injury announcements to key players, lineup changes, or roster moves will influence trader expectations. Weather forecasts, ballpark conditions, and recent team performance streaks drive sentiment. Pitching matchup confirmations and bullpen availability often trigger repricing. Trade deadline activity or unexpected roster transactions can alter perceived strength. Media narratives, betting syndicates, or sharp money flowing into one side may accelerate price movement. Monitor team news, injury reports, and Vegas line movements as proxies for emerging information that prediction markets will reflect.