TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians
kalshi
predict
polymarket

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians

Volume:
$2,154,633

Cleveland

 - Kalshi

Cleveland - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 6:44 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cleveland

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$730,593
N/A
N/A
$461,639
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$13,329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$565
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$164
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Detroit

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$779,904
N/A
N/A
$460,417
Settled
No
polymarket

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$391,026
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians

View
N/A
N/A
—
$543
$678
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$180,635
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,619
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,469
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,184
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,695
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,774
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,907
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$783
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$766
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$712
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$429
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$323
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$255
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$71
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 29

Intro

This market tracks whether the MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians will extend beyond nine innings. Across Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket, the aggregated consensus shows 100.0% probability for extra innings, based on official MLB statistics as the resolution source. The game is scheduled for June 13, 2026 at 4:10 PM ET, with resolution occurring by the official end of play on that date.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both Detroit win and Cleveland win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket and Predict are internally consistent but diverge from Kalshi's broken logic.Hero tip: Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form due to the logical impossibility in its resolution criteria. Trade only Polymarket and Predict markets, which share unified and coherent resolution rules.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all market. Resolves to "Detroit Tigers" if Tigers win, "Cleveland Guardians" if Guardians win. Postponements keep market open; cancellations/ties resolve 50-50. Primary source: Official MLB statistics or credible reporting consensus within 24 hours.
  • Predict: Binary winner-take-all market. Resolves to "Detroit Tigers" if Tigers win, "Cleveland Guardians" if Guardians win. Postponements keep market open; cancellations/ties resolve 50-50. Primary source: Official MLB statistics or credible reporting consensus within 24 hours.
  • Kalshi: CRITICAL FLAW: States 'If Detroit wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Cleveland wins...resolves to Yes.' This is logically impossible in a binary market and renders the market unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 13 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the outcome of the professional baseball game between Detroit and Cleveland scheduled for June 13, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 13 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Detroit Tigers" if the Detroit Tigers win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

The Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians dashboard aggregates real-time prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi, showing live odds and consensus probability for the outcome of this matchup. You can monitor how the implied win probability shifts across both platforms as new information emerges. The dashboard displays current market sentiment, historical price movements, and trading volume to help you understand where predictors believe the edge lies. This cross-platform view reveals whether consensus is forming or if significant divergence exists between venues.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate independently from traditional sportsbooks, often reflecting different liquidity pools, trader demographics, and information sets. Prediction market odds for Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians may diverge from sportsbook lines because predictors trade on expected outcomes rather than seeking balanced action. Sportsbooks adjust lines to manage liability; prediction markets price based on collective belief. Comparing the two can reveal arbitrage opportunities or signal where sophisticated traders see value. Monitor both channels to identify when one market is pricing the matchup differently than the other.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price differences between Polymarket and Kalshi arise from distinct user bases, liquidity depths, fee structures, and market microstructure. Polymarket may attract different trader profiles or have tighter spreads, while Kalshi operates under separate incentive models. Lower trading volume on one platform can widen bid-ask spreads and allow prices to drift further from consensus. Timing lags in information flow between venues, combined with different settlement rule interpretations or market-specific events, can also create temporary arbitrage windows. These gaps typically narrow as informed traders exploit mispricings.

Key catalysts for Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians include roster changes, injury reports to star players, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head historical matchups. Lineup announcements, bullpen availability, and weather conditions on game day can shift odds significantly. Breaking news about player health, trades, or coaching decisions will trigger immediate repricing across Polymarket and Kalshi. Bettors should monitor team news feeds and sports media closely. Late-breaking developments in the hours before game time often create the most volatile price movements as new information reaches the market.