TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 12:00 AM EST
Kalshi
The Detroit professional baseball team will achieve a certain number of wins during the 2026 regular season.
Resolution is based on Detroit's total regular season wins in 2026. The team's final win total determines which outcome applies, with each threshold representing a progressively higher performance level. Ties are not counted as wins for purposes of determining the final win total.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what is readily available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team statistics and expert opinions, this market allows for continuous adjustment based on a wider range of factors, including news, injuries, and even subtle shifts in public sentiment. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks in accuracy, especially when there's significant uncertainty surrounding an event. However, the specific comparison will vary depending on the sportsbook and the timing of the comparison.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the final standings of the Detroit baseball team at the end of the season. The team’s win-loss record will be the determining factor, and the outcome will be verified against official league statistics. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the final results of the season.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major player injuries, unexpected trades, or a change in team management could all shift the probabilities. Strong or poor performance during key stretches of the season, particularly against division rivals, will also be closely watched. Any news regarding the team’s overall health, morale, or strategic direction could influence trading activity. Furthermore, significant changes in public perception, perhaps driven by media coverage or fan sentiment, could also contribute to movement in this market.