TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 9:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Detroit City FC and Pittsburgh, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in a Detroit City FC versus Pittsburgh USL Championship soccer match scheduled for September 19, 2026. Resolution occurs based on regular time results—after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct outcome thresholds exist: Detroit City FC winning by more than 2.5 goals, Detroit City FC winning by more than 1.5 goals, Pittsburgh winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Pittsburgh winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each threshold corresponds to a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the actual score meets or exceeds its specified margin. The governing rules emphasize that all determinations are based solely on the official match result as recorded by the league, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of related intellectual property.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to attract action, whereas this market allows traders to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or breaking news related to the teams involved. Comparing these odds can provide a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the Detroit City FC vs Pittsburgh match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the spread. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as profitable trading opportunities arise from discrepancies between perceived and actual probabilities. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information available regarding the Detroit City FC vs Pittsburgh match.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final result of the Detroit City FC vs Pittsburgh match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official spread determined by the governing body of the league. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could impact the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Detroit City FC or Pittsburgh would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade this market effectively.