TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 1:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between Derry City FC and PFK CSKA Sofia, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Derry City FC" if Derry City FC score more goals than PFK CSKA Sofia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Derry City FC and PFK CSKA Sofia score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "PFK CSKA Sofia" if PFK CSKA Sofia score more goals than Derry City FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between Derry City FC and PFK CSKA Sofia, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Derry City FC" if Derry City FC score more goals than PFK CSKA Sofia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Derry City FC and PFK CSKA Sofia score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "PFK CSKA Sofia" if PFK CSKA Sofia score more goals than Derry City FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders who profit from accuracy. Traders have strong incentives to incorporate all available information—team form, injury reports, head-to-head records—into their positions. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more efficient pricing than traditional sportsbooks, though both venues serve different purposes in the sports betting ecosystem.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an order-book mechanism where buy and sell orders determine the real-time odds for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the collective belief of all active traders at any given moment. As new information emerges—such as team news or live match developments—traders adjust their positions, and prices move accordingly. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and improves price accuracy, making the market more reliable as a probability gauge.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the second half of the Derry City versus CSKA Sofia match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score during the second half only, regardless of what happened in the first half. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution timing depends on match completion and official confirmation of the result.
Several factors can shift this market significantly before kickoff and during play. Pre-match developments—such as injury announcements, lineup confirmations, or weather conditions—often trigger sharp moves. Once the match begins, live action including goals, red cards, or tactical changes will influence trader sentiment in real time. Team momentum, possession patterns, and set-piece opportunities in the opening minutes can also reshape probabilities. Late-breaking news about player availability or unexpected tactical shifts may create trading opportunities as the market reprices its expectations.