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Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia - Exact Score
polymarket
kalshi

What is the exact score of Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia?

Volume:
$37,870

Derry City FC 1 - 2 PFK CSKA Sofia

 - Polymarket

Derry City FC 1 - 2 PFK CSKA Sofia - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 16, 2026

Closed: Jul 16, 1:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Derry City FC 1 - 2 PFK CSKA Sofia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,129
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Derry City FC 1 - 1 PFK CSKA Sofia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,088
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Derry City FC 2 - 1 PFK CSKA Sofia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,523
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Derry City FC 0 - 2 PFK CSKA Sofia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,479
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Derry City FC 3 - 0 PFK CSKA Sofia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,235
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Derry City FC 2 - 3 PFK CSKA Sofia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,184
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

CSKA Sofia wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,598
N/A
N/A
$1,540
Settled
No
polymarket

Derry City FC 0 - 1 PFK CSKA Sofia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Derry City FC 2 - 2 PFK CSKA Sofia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,066
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Derry City FC 0 - 0 PFK CSKA Sofia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,050
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Derry City FC 1 - 3 PFK CSKA Sofia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$976
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Derry City FC 1 - 0 PFK CSKA Sofia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$815
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Derry City wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$714
N/A
N/A
$637
Settled
No
kalshi

CSKA Sofia wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$685
N/A
N/A
$684
Settled
No
kalshi

Derry City wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$328
N/A
N/A
$328
Settled
No
polymarket

Derry City FC 3 - 2 PFK CSKA Sofia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$266
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Derry City FC 0 - 3 PFK CSKA Sofia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$226
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Derry City FC 3 - 1 PFK CSKA Sofia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$204
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Derry City FC 2 - 0 PFK CSKA Sofia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$80
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Any Other Score

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Derry City FC 3 - 3 PFK CSKA Sofia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 21

Description

This event group covers the exact final score of a UEFA Europa League match between Derry City FC and PFK CSKA Sofia scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. Polymarket offers 18 discrete exact-score outcomes plus an 'Any Other Score' catch-all, while Kalshi offers four spread-based markets on goal differential thresholds. Both platforms resolve based on the official 90-minute result excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally different market structures (discrete exact scores vs. goal-differential spreads) to represent the same underlying event. While both resolve on the official 90-minute final score, the settlement mechanics and verification paths differ.Hero tip: Both platforms will resolve consistently if you map the final score to its corresponding outcomes on each. For example, a 2-1 Derry win resolves Polymarket to '2-1' and Kalshi to YES on 'Derry wins by >1.5' but NO on 'Derry wins by >2.5'. Use official UEFA/governing body statistics as your single source of truth and cross-check both platforms against it post-match.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Exact-score market with 18 discrete outcomes plus 'Any Other Score' catch-all. Resolution source: official governing body statistics within 2 hours; if unavailable, credible reporting consensus. Cancellation defaults to 0-0. Key quote: 'If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to Any Other Score.'
  • Kalshi: Four binary spread markets on goal differential (Derry >2.5, Derry >1.5, CSKA >1.5, CSKA >2.5). Resolution source not explicitly stated but implied to be official match result. Key quote: 'If Derry City wins by more than 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between Derry City FC and PFK CSKA Sofia, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Derry City FC vs. PFK CSKA Sofia match originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the goal margin in the Derry City vs CSKA Sofia Europa League match on July 16, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Each market outcome corresponds to a specific winning margin threshold for either team. Derry City outcomes resolve Yes if Derry City wins by more than the specified margin (1.5 or 2.5 goals); CSKA Sofia outcomes resolve Yes if CSKA Sofia wins by more than the specified margin (1.5 or 2.5 goals). For example, the Derry City wins by more than 2.5 goals market resolves Yes if Derry City wins 3-0 or by any larger margin. All determinations are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes using different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets rely on continuous trader participation to discover prices. This market reflects real-time consensus from thousands of independent traders rather than a single operator's model. Prediction market odds often incorporate faster-moving information and can diverge significantly from sportsbook lines, especially as match day nears. Comparing this market's prices to major sportsbooks can reveal value opportunities or consensus shifts that haven't yet been reflected in traditional betting venues.

Polymarket and Kalshi serve different trader bases, fee structures, and regulatory frameworks, which naturally creates price divergence. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform's liquidity depth, user demographics, and market design incentivize different trading patterns. On Polymarket, the exact-score format attracts precision-focused traders, while Kalshi's broader outcome structure may appeal to those seeking simpler binary exposure. Arbitrage opportunities between platforms are often limited by withdrawal friction and platform-specific rules, allowing temporary mispricings to persist. Monitoring both venues helps you identify which market is pricing the outcome more efficiently.

Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly reprrice outcome probabilities. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage all influence trader positioning. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and competition context (league stage, knockout round, or friendly) may also shift sentiment. As match day approaches, late-breaking roster updates or betting-market activity on traditional sportsbooks can cascade into prediction market moves. Monitor official team announcements and sports news feeds for catalysts that could trigger rapid repricing across both platforms.