TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 6:41 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Derry City FC and Galway United FC, scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Derry City FC" if Derry City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Galway United FC" if Galway United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Derry City FC and Galway United FC, scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Derry City FC" if Derry City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Galway United FC" if Galway United FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a team’s chances, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly. This can sometimes lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, discrepancies can also occur due to differing risk appetites and market dynamics.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and share their views, the price fluctuates, converging towards a consensus probability. The market’s efficiency is driven by the incentive for traders to accurately assess the likelihood of each team scoring first, as profitable trades depend on correctly predicting the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Derry City vs. Galway match. The official match records will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Any disputes regarding the official result will be addressed according to Polymarket’s standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Derry City or Galway United would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, recent match results, or tactical adjustments announced by the managers could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match commentary from football analysts, might also contribute to shifts in the odds. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring first has the potential to move this market.