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Derby County FC vs. Swansea City AFC
kalshi
polymarket

Derby County FC vs. Swansea City AFC

Volume:
$201,718

Derby

 - Kalshi

Derby - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 14, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 1:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Derby

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$3,480
$32,727
N/A
N/A
$15,346
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$2,826
$17,344
N/A
N/A
$13,709
Settled
No
kalshi

Swansea

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$4,612
$17,330
N/A
N/A
$8,456
Settled
No
polymarket

Derby County FC

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$125,858
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Swansea City AFC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,231
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Derby County FC vs. Swansea City AFC)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,228
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional EFL Championship soccer match between Derby County FC and Swansea City AFC scheduled for February 14, 2026. Three related markets track the outcome: whether Derby wins, whether Swansea wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to Yes if the game is canceled with no makeup, while Kalshi does not specify cancellation handling. This creates a potential settlement divergence only in the cancellation scenario.Hero tip: For all normal match outcomes (win/loss/draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time), both platforms are aligned. The divergence only matters if the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game. In that case, Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes, but Kalshi's three markets have undefined resolution. Confirm Kalshi's cancellation policy with the platform before the match date.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate markets: Derby win resolves Yes if Derby wins (No otherwise); Swansea win resolves Yes if Swansea wins (No otherwise); Draw resolves Yes if match ends in a draw (Yes also if game is canceled with no makeup). All based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market only).
  • Kalshi: Three markets: Tie wins resolves Yes if tie occurs; Swansea wins resolves Yes if Swansea wins; Derby wins resolves Yes if Derby wins. All based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key quote: 'If Tie wins the Derby vs Swansea professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.