TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Derby County FC vs. Swansea City AFC
Volume:
$201,718
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional EFL Championship soccer match between Derby County FC and Swansea City AFC scheduled for February 14, 2026. Three related markets track the outcome: whether Derby wins, whether Swansea wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to Yes if the game is canceled with no makeup, while Kalshi does not specify cancellation handling. This creates a potential settlement divergence only in the cancellation scenario.Hero Tip:
For all normal match outcomes (win/loss/draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time), both platforms are aligned. The divergence only matters if the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game. In that case, Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes, but Kalshi's three markets have undefined resolution. Confirm Kalshi's cancellation policy with the platform before the match date.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: Derby win resolves Yes if Derby wins (No otherwise); Swansea win resolves Yes if Swansea wins (No otherwise); Draw resolves Yes if match ends in a draw (Yes also if game is canceled with no makeup). All based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market only).
- Kalshi: Three markets: Tie wins resolves Yes if tie occurs; Swansea wins resolves Yes if Swansea wins; Derby wins resolves Yes if Derby wins. All based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key quote: 'If Tie wins the Derby vs Swansea professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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