TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC
polymarket
kalshi

Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC

Volume:
$185,315

Derby County FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 6, 2026

Closed: Apr 6, 10:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Derby County FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$71,402
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Derby

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,205
N/A
N/A
$10,922
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,805
N/A
N/A
$26,154
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,621
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Stoke City FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,808
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Stoke

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,474
N/A
N/A
$10,275
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional EFL Championship soccer match between Derby County FC and Stoke City FC scheduled for April 6, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the three possible outcomes: Derby win, Stoke win, or draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market contains a logical contradiction: if a game is canceled without makeup, the draw market resolves Yes while the two win markets resolve No, making it impossible for all three markets to resolve consistently. Additionally, Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation and postponement clauses, creating source fragility.Hero tip: Do not trade this event group until platforms clarify cancellation protocol. On Polymarket, the three markets are logically inconsistent under cancellation scenarios. On Kalshi, absence of cancellation/postponement rules means resolution source and edge case handling are undefined. Request written clarification on: (1) what happens if the match is canceled without makeup, (2) what happens if the match is postponed, and (3) the authoritative resolution source for each platform.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Derby Win and Stoke Win resolve No on cancellation; Draw resolves Yes on cancellation. This creates a logical impossibility where cancellation cannot resolve all three markets consistently. Primary source is EFL.com or credible reporting within 2 hours of conclusion. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup triggers the asymmetric resolution.
  • Kalshi: Three separate Yes/No outcomes presented as distinct markets (Derby Win / Stoke Win / Tie). No explicit cancellation, postponement, or resolution source clause provided. Market descriptions state only the win conditions without addressing edge cases, creating source fragility and ambiguity.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.