TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC
Volume:
$185,315
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional EFL Championship soccer match between Derby County FC and Stoke City FC scheduled for April 6, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the three possible outcomes: Derby win, Stoke win, or draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a logical contradiction: if a game is canceled without makeup, the draw market resolves Yes while the two win markets resolve No, making it impossible for all three markets to resolve consistently. Additionally, Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation and postponement clauses, creating source fragility.Hero Tip:
Do not trade this event group until platforms clarify cancellation protocol. On Polymarket, the three markets are logically inconsistent under cancellation scenarios. On Kalshi, absence of cancellation/postponement rules means resolution source and edge case handling are undefined. Request written clarification on: (1) what happens if the match is canceled without makeup, (2) what happens if the match is postponed, and (3) the authoritative resolution source for each platform.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Derby Win and Stoke Win resolve No on cancellation; Draw resolves Yes on cancellation. This creates a logical impossibility where cancellation cannot resolve all three markets consistently. Primary source is EFL.com or credible reporting within 2 hours of conclusion. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup triggers the asymmetric resolution.
- Kalshi: Three separate Yes/No outcomes presented as distinct markets (Derby Win / Stoke Win / Tie). No explicit cancellation, postponement, or resolution source clause provided. Market descriptions state only the win conditions without addressing edge cases, creating source fragility and ambiguity.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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