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24H VOL:

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405,232

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2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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61%

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Derby County FC vs. Birmingham City FC
polymarket
kalshi

Derby County FC vs. Birmingham City FC

Volume:
$192,311

Derby

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 21, 2026

Closed: Mar 21, 11:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Derby

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$48,405
N/A
N/A
$31,758
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Derby County FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$47,167
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Birmingham

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,572
N/A
N/A
$29,942
Settled
No
polymarket

Birmingham City FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,080
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,845
N/A
N/A
$7,946
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Derby County FC vs. Birmingham City FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,242
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional EFL Championship soccer match between Derby County FC and Birmingham City FC scheduled for March 21, 2026. Three related markets track the three possible outcomes: Derby win, Birmingham win, or draw, all evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's outcome market structure does not explicitly address cancellation or postponement scenarios, while Polymarket provides detailed fallback rules. This creates potential settlement ambiguity if the match is canceled without a makeup game.Hero tip: Monitor official EFL communications for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled, Polymarket's draw market will resolve No, but Kalshi's resolution is undefined. Request clarification from Kalshi before the event date. For hedging purposes, treat Polymarket's cancellation rule as the reference standard.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three independent binary markets with explicit cancellation logic. Draw market resolves No if game is canceled with no makeup. Derby and Birmingham win markets also resolve No on cancellation. Primary source is official EFL statistics within 2 hours, with credible reporting consensus as fallback.
  • Kalshi: Single outcome market where Tie, Derby, and Birmingham all resolve to Yes if they occur. No explicit cancellation or postponement protocol stated. Scope is identical (90 minutes plus stoppage time, EFL Championship, March 21, 2026).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.