TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Derby County FC vs. Birmingham City FC
Volume:
$192,311
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional EFL Championship soccer match between Derby County FC and Birmingham City FC scheduled for March 21, 2026. Three related markets track the three possible outcomes: Derby win, Birmingham win, or draw, all evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's outcome market structure does not explicitly address cancellation or postponement scenarios, while Polymarket provides detailed fallback rules. This creates potential settlement ambiguity if the match is canceled without a makeup game.Hero Tip:
Monitor official EFL communications for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled, Polymarket's draw market will resolve No, but Kalshi's resolution is undefined. Request clarification from Kalshi before the event date. For hedging purposes, treat Polymarket's cancellation rule as the reference standard.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three independent binary markets with explicit cancellation logic. Draw market resolves No if game is canceled with no makeup. Derby and Birmingham win markets also resolve No on cancellation. Primary source is official EFL statistics within 2 hours, with credible reporting consensus as fallback.
- Kalshi: Single outcome market where Tie, Derby, and Birmingham all resolve to Yes if they occur. No explicit cancellation or postponement protocol stated. Scope is identical (90 minutes plus stoppage time, EFL Championship, March 21, 2026).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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