TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 9:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group concerns predicting which team will score the first goal in the upcoming match between Deportivo Toluca FC and Los Angeles FC, scheduled for August 8, 2026.
In the upcoming match between Deportivo Toluca FC and Los Angeles FC, scheduled for August 8, 2026 at 11:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Deportivo Toluca FC" if Deportivo Toluca FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles FC" if Los Angeles FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The market resolves based on which team records the first goal during the entire CF Pachuca vs Queretaro FC professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for July 26, 2026, encompassing regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. If the first goal scored is an own goal, resolution is determined by the team to which the goal is officially awarded rather than the team that committed the own goal. A No Goal outcome resolves to Yes if the match concludes without any team scoring. The market does not distinguish between goals scored in different periods; only the chronological first goal matters for resolution.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, pricing can vary due to distinct user bases, liquidity conditions, and fee structures. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one venue might attract more local fans, skewing its odds toward a favored team, while the other balances global traders. Such divergence often highlights regional sentiment or temporary imbalances in order flow before prices converge closer to the match kickoff.
Injuries, lineup changes, or weather updates can shift this market sharply as they affect scoring probabilities. Key moments like a star player being benched or a rain delay might cause rapid recalibrations on Polymarket and Kalshi, especially if new information emerges in the hours leading up to the first whistle. Trader reactions to pre-game news often drive the most noticeable swings.