This event group covers a Liga MX match between Deportivo Toluca FC and FC Juárez scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets span spread betting (Toluca and Juárez at -1.5 and -2.5 goal margins), total goals over/under (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5), and both teams to score. All markets resolve based on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution logic: official Liga MX final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements (remain open) and cancellations (50-50 split).
Primary resolution logic:
Official Liga MX statistics published on ligamx.net; secondary source is credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Spread markets (Toluca -1.5, Toluca -2.5, Juárez -1.5, Juárez -2.5) resolve based on goal differential: Toluca wins by 2+ goals resolves to Toluca on -1.5 spread; Toluca wins by 3+ goals resolves to Toluca on -2.5 spread; Juárez wins by 2+ goals resolves to Juárez on -1.5 spread; Juárez wins by 3+ goals resolves to Juárez on -2.5 spread.
Over/Under markets (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) resolve based on combined goals: Over 1.5 if 2+ combined goals; Over 2.5 if 3+ combined goals; Over 3.5 if 4+ combined goals; Over 4.5 if 5+ combined goals.
Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if each team scores at least one goal; resolves No if either team scores zero goals.
All resolution thresholds are inclusive (e.g., exactly 2 goals for Toluca on -1.5 spread counts as a win).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Game Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed. No early resolution occurs.
Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no scheduled make-up game, all markets resolve 50-50 (split between Yes and No outcomes).
Incomplete Match: If the game is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned), resolution uses the official final score as published by Liga MX for the portion played.
Official Statistics Delay: If Liga MX does not publish official final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus from reputable sports sources may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Scope: Regular Time Only: All markets resolve based on the score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the official final score is published on ligamx.net following the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 8, 2026. If official statistics are delayed, resolution may occur up to 2 hours after match conclusion, or later if credible reporting consensus is required.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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