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$1,441,166,947

406,422

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2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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61%

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Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Deportivo Toluca FC vs FC Dallas?

Volume:
$3,503,831

Toluca

 - Kalshi

Toluca - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 13, 2026

Closed: Aug 13, 12:31 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Toluca

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$802,715
N/A
N/A
$414,152
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Deportivo Toluca FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$298,959
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dallas

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,719,280
N/A
N/A
$1,411,322
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Dallas

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$136,090
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$516,283
N/A
N/A
$314,827
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Dallas)

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,504
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Deportivo Toluca FC will win against FC Dallas in their match scheduled for August 12, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for Toluca FC winning stands at 100.0%, drawn from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution details available at https://www.leaguescup.com/. FC Dallas has a second-place probability of 0.1%. Watch the match result on August 12, 2026, as it will determine the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi uses a single market that resolves to Yes for any outcome (Toluca win, Dallas win, or draw) while Polymarket uses three separate binary markets for each specific outcomeHero tip: Avoid arbitrage opportunities between Polymarket and Kalshi; Kalshi market will always resolve to Yes unless the game is canceled with no makeup date

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Will Toluca win? Will the match end in a draw? Will Dallas win? Each resolves independently based on the specific outcome
  • Kalshi: Single market that resolves to Yes if Toluca wins, Dallas wins, OR the match ends in a draw (after 90 minutes plus stoppage time)
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Leagues Cup game, scheduled for Wednesday, August 12, 2026 between Deportivo Toluca FC and FC Dallas.

Kalshi

The event involves three markets resolving based on the outcome of the Toluca vs Dallas professional Leagues Cup soccer match scheduled for August 12, 2026. The 'Toluca' market resolves to Yes if Toluca wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The 'Dallas' market resolves to Yes if Dallas achieves the same condition. The 'Tie' market resolves to Yes if the game ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. All markets share a common secondary rule: if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price. The governing rules explicitly state that Kalshi is not affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Price differences between Polymarket and Kalshi arise from varying user bases, liquidity depths, and market design features. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more international traders or have tighter spreads, skewing its odds. Additionally, each venue sets its own initial lines and fee structures, which influence how traders value this market over time.