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406,422

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2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana
kalshi
polymarket

Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana

Volume:
$748,658

Toluca

 - Kalshi

Toluca - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 14, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 1:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Toluca

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$7,675
$112,928
N/A
N/A
$76,713
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tijuana de Caliente

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$3,952
$348,567
N/A
N/A
$305,020
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$3,917
$115,963
N/A
N/A
$92,064
Settled
No
polymarket

Deportivo Toluca FC

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$84,358
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Club Tijuana

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76,857
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,985
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Liga MX professional soccer match between Deportivo Toluca FC and Club Tijuana scheduled for February 13, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are tracking the final outcome (win/loss/draw) based on 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets contain a logical contradiction where all three mutually exclusive outcome markets resolve to Yes regardless of match result, rendering them unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound with proper mutual exclusivity and consistent edge-case handling.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi markets for this event group. The resolution logic is fundamentally broken and will create disputes. Polymarket offers the only tradeable, resolvable markets with clear mutually exclusive outcomes and consistent cancellation rules.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: All three markets (Tijuana win, Toluca win, Tie) resolve to Yes. This creates logical impossibility: if Tijuana wins, market 1 resolves Yes; if Toluca wins, market 2 resolves Yes; if Tie, market 3 resolves Yes. No market can resolve to No. Unresolvable contradiction.
  • Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive markets with proper logic: Draw market (Yes if draw, No otherwise), Toluca Win market (Yes if Toluca wins, No otherwise), Tijuana Win market (Yes if Tijuana wins, No otherwise). Cancellation: Draw market resolves Yes if canceled; Win markets resolve No if canceled. Logically sound and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.