TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

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2,388,728,490

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$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Santos Laguna
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Santos Laguna?

Volume:
$4,944,896

Santos Laguna

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 10:11 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Santos Laguna

View
100%
90%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,135,092
N/A
N/A
$642,184
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Club Santos Laguna

View
100%
91%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$204,875
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toluca

View
0%
79%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,346,039
N/A
N/A
$529,376
Settled
No
polymarket

Deportivo Toluca FC

View
0%
77%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$241,782
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$949,689
N/A
N/A
$257,442
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Santos Laguna)

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67,418
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of the Liga MX soccer match between Deportivo Toluca FC and Club Santos Laguna, scheduled for September 20, 2026. Markets ask whether Toluca will win, Santos Laguna will win, or the game will end in a draw, all determined within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Differing resolution rules for game cancellations create a significant divergence in market behavior.Hero tip: Consider the probability of game cancellation when trading these markets. Polymarket's 'No' resolution on cancellation contrasts with Kalshi's 'Yes' resolution, potentially creating arbitrage opportunities.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 'No'."
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve to 'Yes' for all outcomes (Toluca win, Santos Laguna win, or Tie) if the game is canceled. "If Toluca wins...Yes. If Santos Laguna wins...Yes. If Tie is the result...Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Sunday, September 20, 2026 between Deportivo Toluca FC and Club Santos Laguna.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Toluca vs Santos Laguna professional Liga MX soccer game scheduled for September 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Toluca wins, the 'Toluca' market resolves to Yes. If Santos Laguna wins, the 'Santos Laguna' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets exclusively consider the result after regular time and stoppage minutes, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.