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$134.2b

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$134,145,987

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2,388,728,490

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

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30,383

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2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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61%

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Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club León FC
polymarket
kalshi

Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club León FC

Volume:
$111,112

Deportivo Toluca FC

 - Polymarket

Deportivo Toluca FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 26, 2026

Closed: Apr 25, 9:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Deportivo Toluca FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$45,594
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toluca wins by over 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,709
N/A
N/A
$5,172
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toluca wins by over 2.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,826
N/A
N/A
$4,266
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Club León FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,691
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club León FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,833
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Leon wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,476
N/A
N/A
$4,606
Settled
No
kalshi

Leon wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,982
N/A
N/A
$1,682
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Saturday, April 25, 2026 between Deportivo Toluca FC and Club León FC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers complete match outcome coverage (win/loss/draw), while Kalshi offers only margin-of-victory subsets. The platforms measure different dimensions of the same event and do not directly contradict, but traders face incomplete cross-platform hedging.Hero tip: Treat these as complementary, not redundant. Polymarket captures all outcomes; Kalshi captures only decisive victories above specific thresholds. A close match (1-0, 1-1, 2-1) will resolve differently across platforms. Ensure your strategy accounts for the gap in Kalshi coverage of draws and narrow margins.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets (Toluca win Yes/No, León win Yes/No, draw Yes/No) covering all possible match results. Resolves based on official Liga MX statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of match end. Cancellation with no makeup: Toluca/León wins resolve No, draw resolves Yes.
  • Kalshi: Four margin-of-victory markets (León >1.5 goals, León >2.5 goals, Toluca >1.5 goals, Toluca >2.5 goals) resolving Yes only if threshold is exceeded after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No cancellation clause provided in source data.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.