TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club León FC
Volume:
$111,112
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Saturday, April 25, 2026 between Deportivo Toluca FC and Club León FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket offers complete match outcome coverage (win/loss/draw), while Kalshi offers only margin-of-victory subsets. The platforms measure different dimensions of the same event and do not directly contradict, but traders face incomplete cross-platform hedging.Hero Tip:
Treat these as complementary, not redundant. Polymarket captures all outcomes; Kalshi captures only decisive victories above specific thresholds. A close match (1-0, 1-1, 2-1) will resolve differently across platforms. Ensure your strategy accounts for the gap in Kalshi coverage of draws and narrow margins.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets (Toluca win Yes/No, León win Yes/No, draw Yes/No) covering all possible match results. Resolves based on official Liga MX statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of match end. Cancellation with no makeup: Toluca/León wins resolve No, draw resolves Yes.
- Kalshi: Four margin-of-victory markets (León >1.5 goals, León >2.5 goals, Toluca >1.5 goals, Toluca >2.5 goals) resolving Yes only if threshold is exceeded after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No cancellation clause provided in source data.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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