TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 1:43 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Deportivo Toluca FC and CF Monterrey, scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 9:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Deportivo Toluca FC" if Deportivo Toluca FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "CF Monterrey" if CF Monterrey are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Deportivo Toluca FC and CF Monterrey, scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 9:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Deportivo Toluca FC" if Deportivo Toluca FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "CF Monterrey" if CF Monterrey are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks incorporate a margin for profit, which can skew the probabilities, whereas this market allows participants to directly assess the likelihood of each outcome. While sportsbook odds may initially be influenced by public perception or biases, this market’s pricing can converge towards a more refined estimate as more information becomes available and traders refine their views. It's common to see differences, especially early in the market's life.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by which team – Deportivo Toluca FC or CF Monterrey – scores the first goal during the first half of the match. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. This market will close prior to the end of the first half, allowing time for the result to be confirmed and the shares to be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players, or changes in coaching strategies could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match commentary from analysts could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, as the match approaches, any significant shifts in public opinion or betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks could be reflected in this market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring first has the potential to move the market.