TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlas FC
kalshi
polymarket

Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlas FC

Volume:
$258,206

Draw (Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlas FC)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 15, 2026

Closed: Mar 14, 9:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlas FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,484
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,553
N/A
N/A
$13,861
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Toluca

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$92,308
N/A
N/A
$77,959
Settled
No
polymarket

Deportivo Toluca FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$69,955
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Atlas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,797
N/A
N/A
$37,613
Settled
No
polymarket

Atlas FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,108
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the Liga MX professional soccer match between Deportivo Toluca FC and Atlas FC scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: Toluca win, Atlas win, or draw, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Kalshi omits cancellation logic entirely, while Polymarket explicitly assigns Yes to draw cancellation and No to win cancellations, creating potential settlement conflicts.Hero tip: Monitor for postponement vs. cancellation announcements. If the match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open. If canceled with no makeup, Polymarket draw resolves Yes while Toluca/Atlas win markets resolve No; Kalshi's behavior is undefined. Request clarification from Kalshi before expiration.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate markets: Toluca win (Yes if Toluca wins, No otherwise including cancellation), Draw (Yes if draw or if canceled, No otherwise), Atlas win (Yes if Atlas wins, No otherwise including cancellation). All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup triggers the resolution rules above.
  • Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets all resolving to Yes if their outcome occurs (Toluca win Yes, Atlas win Yes, Tie Yes). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Implies all outcomes are mutually exclusive and exhaustive, but settlement path for cancellation is undefined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.