TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Atlas FC
Volume:
$258,206
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Liga MX professional soccer match between Deportivo Toluca FC and Atlas FC scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: Toluca win, Atlas win, or draw, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Kalshi omits cancellation logic entirely, while Polymarket explicitly assigns Yes to draw cancellation and No to win cancellations, creating potential settlement conflicts.Hero Tip:
Monitor for postponement vs. cancellation announcements. If the match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open. If canceled with no makeup, Polymarket draw resolves Yes while Toluca/Atlas win markets resolve No; Kalshi's behavior is undefined. Request clarification from Kalshi before expiration.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: Toluca win (Yes if Toluca wins, No otherwise including cancellation), Draw (Yes if draw or if canceled, No otherwise), Atlas win (Yes if Atlas wins, No otherwise including cancellation). All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup triggers the resolution rules above.
- Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets all resolving to Yes if their outcome occurs (Toluca win Yes, Atlas win Yes, Tie Yes). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Implies all outcomes are mutually exclusive and exhaustive, but settlement path for cancellation is undefined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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