TOTAL VOLUME:
$143b
24H VOL:
$111,424,783
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,661,467,257
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,630,632,565
494,234
Markets across
37,330
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,871
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Time left: 04d:02h:46m
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This group forecasts the outcome of a Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match between Deportivo Pereira and Boyacá Chicó FC, scheduled for October 20, 2026. Markets exist for each team winning and for the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 20, 2026 between Deportivo Pereira and Boyacá Chicó FC.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Pereira vs Boyaca Chico professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match scheduled for October 20, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a different kind of wisdom than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by individuals betting their own capital, theoretically leading to more accurate probabilities. However, sportsbook odds are easily accessible and widely publicized, influencing initial trading in prediction markets. It's common to see initial price discovery in this market influenced by sportsbook lines, but as more information becomes available and more traders participate, the prediction market odds can diverge, potentially offering value for informed bettors.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity. Polymarket currently favors a Deportivo Pereira win at 41.0%, while Kalshi leans toward a different outcome. Differences in trading fees, market maker activity, and even the time of day can also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform—currently $23 overall—impacts price stability and responsiveness to new information. These variations present opportunities for arbitrage traders.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Deportivo Pereira vs. Boyacá Chicó FC match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official sources and widely accepted results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders should monitor official announcements to understand when the outcome is finalized and this market settles.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Oct 21, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Deportivo Pereira or Boyacá Chicó FC would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also move the market. Even external factors like weather conditions on match day or significant news regarding team management could influence trader sentiment. Any credible information suggesting a change in the expected outcome will be quickly reflected in the prices on Polymarket and Kalshi.