TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 10:52 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Deportivo Maldonado and Montevideo Wanderers, scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Deportivo Maldonado" if Deportivo Maldonado score more goals than Montevideo Wanderers in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Deportivo Maldonado and Montevideo Wanderers score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Montevideo Wanderers" if Montevideo Wanderers score more goals than Deportivo Maldonado in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primera División (Uruguay) game between Deportivo Maldonado and Montevideo Wanderers, scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Deportivo Maldonado" if Deportivo Maldonado score more goals than Montevideo Wanderers in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Deportivo Maldonado and Montevideo Wanderers score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Montevideo Wanderers" if Montevideo Wanderers score more goals than Deportivo Maldonado in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, risk assessments, and the influence of public sentiment. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, as the price adjusts with each trade.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market collectively believes is the true probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants on Polymarket, creating a dynamic and responsive assessment of the potential second-half result between Deportivo Maldonado and Montevideo Wanderers.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result will be determined by which team—Deportivo Maldonado or Montevideo Wanderers—wins the second half of the match. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified result of the Deportivo Maldonado vs. Wanderers second half.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 5, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in starting lineups would likely have an impact. Additionally, real-time performance during the first half of the match, such as goals scored or red cards issued, could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from respected soccer commentators could also contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the final whistle.