TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 10:52 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Deportivo Maldonado and Montevideo Wanderers, scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Deportivo Maldonado" if Deportivo Maldonado are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Montevideo Wanderers" if Montevideo Wanderers are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Deportivo Maldonado and Montevideo Wanderers, scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Deportivo Maldonado" if Deportivo Maldonado are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Montevideo Wanderers" if Montevideo Wanderers are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket, tends to reflect more purely the perceived probability of each team scoring first. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team rankings and statistics, this market dynamically adjusts as new information and opinions emerge, potentially revealing discrepancies between public sentiment and professional analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that team scoring first. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This creates a dynamic pricing system that reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants, offering a unique view on the likely first goalscorer in the Deportivo Maldonado vs. Wanderers match.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Deportivo Maldonado vs. Wanderers match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any potential delays or postponements of the match may impact the resolution timeline, but the final result will always be determined by the official scoring sequence of the game.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Deportivo Maldonado or Montevideo Wanderers would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, unexpected lineup announcements, or even weather conditions impacting playing style could also move the market. Furthermore, any significant public endorsements or expert analysis predicting a specific outcome could sway trader sentiment and alter the probabilities reflected on Polymarket.