TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 1:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming Club Friendlies game, scheduled for Friday, July 31, 2026 between Deportivo Alaves and CD Castellon.
This event is for the upcoming Club Friendlies game, scheduled for Friday, July 31, 2026 between Deportivo Alaves and CD Castellon.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the decentralized nature of trading. In this market, prices are set by participants who may react more quickly to new data, such as player injuries or weather conditions. While sportsbooks incorporate their own margins and models, prediction markets reflect a more direct aggregation of trader beliefs, which can lead to variance in implied probabilities.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders manually place bets that directly set the market price based on supply and demand dynamics. The current top outcome’s implied probability reflects the collective assessment of all participants. Liquidity levels and recent trading volume also influence how responsive the odds are to new information or shifts in sentiment surrounding the teams.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match conclusion, and the platform will finalize the market based on authoritative sources that confirm the final score or other relevant conditions for resolution.
Key signals such as starting lineups, weather updates, or in-game momentum shifts can significantly impact this market. Injuries to star players, tactical decisions by coaches, or even broader narratives like home advantage may cause traders to re-evaluate their positions. Any unexpected developments leading up to or during the match can trigger rapid changes in odds as market participants adjust their expectations.