TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 8:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Dep Maldonado and Albion will compete in a professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer match on July 10, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the final score after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, with no extra time or penalty shootouts considered.
This event covers the professional Uruguay Primera Division soccer match between Dep Maldonado and Albion scheduled for July 10, 2026. Resolution is based on the final score after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. Three separate markets resolve based on the match outcome: one for a Dep Maldonado victory, one for an Albion victory, and one for a tie result. If the match ends in a draw, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks after the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with established rules.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real-money risk. This market aggregates the views of many independent traders betting their own capital, which can reveal information gaps or contrarian positioning relative to mainstream sportsbooks. Comparing the two can highlight where the crowd sees value differently.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the live odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the marginal trade—the last transaction executed—and moves as new orders flow in. Traders can place limit orders to wait for their target price or market orders for immediate execution. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how tight the bid-ask spread remains throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official final score and result of the event. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell positions as new information and developments shift market expectations. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the event's completion.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or roster updates announced before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head records, and weather conditions can all influence trader positioning. Public statements from coaches or players, betting-market activity from sharp bettors, and social media sentiment may also shift odds. Major developments in either team's season trajectory or unexpected tactical announcements could trigger significant repricing as traders reassess their positions.