TOTAL VOLUME:
$143b
24H VOL:
$111,424,783
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,661,467,257
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,630,632,565
494,234
Markets across
37,330
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,871
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Oklahoma City wins by over 33.5 points
- Kalshi
Oklahoma City wins by over 33.5 points - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Oct 23, 2026
Time left: 06d:06h:48m
$
This event tracks various point-spread outcomes for an upcoming professional basketball game, allowing participants to speculate on the magnitude of the winning team's victory. Each outcome represents a different threshold by which either team could win, offering a range of possible results based on the final score.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Denver vs Oklahoma City Pro Basketball game scheduled for Oct 22, 2026. For each market, if the specified team wins by exceeding the designated point threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders, aims to reflect the true probability of an outcome, potentially offering more favorable odds for informed participants. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management strategies, leading to differences. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential spread. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market reflecting real-time sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Denver versus Oklahoma City game. The resolution will reflect whether Denver covers the spread, Oklahoma City covers the spread, or if the result is a push. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. The market’s resolution is based on the official game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either Denver or Oklahoma City would likely have a significant impact. Updates on team performance, coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected news about player health or team dynamics are key catalysts. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations, potentially leading to price adjustments in this market.