TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 10:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Tyquan Thornton will score one or more touchdowns in the Denver versus Kansas City professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 24.0% probability to Tyquan Thornton scoring 1+ touchdowns, while Jaylen Waddle scoring 2+ touchdowns is at 14.0%. The market will resolve based on whether Brashard Smith scores at least 2+ touchdowns in the game originally scheduled for September 14, 2026, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the performance of Brashard Smith leading up to and during the game on September 14, 2026, as his touchdown count is the key to market resolution.
The event evaluates multiple individual player markets for touchdowns scored in a specific football game. Each market has a primary rule stating that if a designated player scores a specified number of touchdowns (1 or more, or 2 or more), the market resolves to 'Yes.' Secondary rules address scenarios where the player is active but does not take any snaps, in which case the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. If the player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual touchdowns scored during the game. The event covers various players on both teams, each with their own threshold for resolution. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individual traders expressing their beliefs. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – and as the event approaches, you may see the probabilities offered in this market converge or diverge from traditional sportsbook odds. It’s a fascinating comparison of different approaches to forecasting the game’s outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the number of touchdowns scored. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, indicating the market’s collective probability assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, reacting to news and information, which drives the price movement. The closer we get to the game, the more responsive the market will likely be to late-breaking developments, making it a dynamic reflection of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of touchdowns scored in the Denver versus Kansas City game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the results and any associated payouts shortly after the game concludes and the official statistics are finalized.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Denver or Kansas City teams would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Changes in weather forecasts – particularly conditions that favor passing or running offenses – could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, could drive changes in the price of contracts within this market.