TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 11:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks offensive performance thresholds in an upcoming football game between two teams. Each market evaluates whether a specific team achieves a designated yardage milestone during the contest, reflecting predictions about their offensive capabilities.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards recorded by either Denver or Kansas City in their game scheduled for September 14, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team reaches or exceeds its designated yardage threshold—ranging from 250 to 450 yards—during the game. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all open markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the outcome thresholds.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs about the total yards achieved in the Denver vs Kansas City game. Over time, these markets tend to converge as new information becomes available, but discrepancies can exist, offering opportunities for informed traders. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes than traditional polls or analyst predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the total combined yardage in the Denver vs Kansas City game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that yardage total being achieved. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the outcome. The price movements are driven by supply and demand – if more people believe the yardage will be high, the price of contracts representing higher yardage will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total combined yardage for both the Denver and Kansas City teams, as officially recorded by the league, will determine the outcome. The market will settle to 100 if the actual total yardage is equal to or greater than the highest contract price, and to 0 if it’s less than the lowest contract price, with a linear interpolation between those values. Traders will be able to claim their winnings after the resolution is finalized.
Several factors could influence the Denver vs Kansas City yards market. Injury reports for key offensive players on either team would be significant, as would any changes in weather forecasts that might affect passing or rushing attempts. News regarding coaching strategies or adjustments to offensive play-calling could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news about defensive matchups or a team’s overall offensive approach could also lead to price movement. Any late-breaking information impacting the perceived offensive capabilities of either team is likely to be reflected in trading activity.