TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 11:45 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks the performance of both teams in a specific football game, focusing on how many times each team successfully tackles the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcome depends on whether specified minimum thresholds of these tackles, known as sacks, are met by either team during the match.
The event resolves based on the total number of sacks recorded by each team in the Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game scheduled for September 14, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold for either team, and resolves to 'Yes' if the team's sacks meet or exceed that threshold. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets are independent, with each threshold representing a distinct outcome for the respective team.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant difference exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts on Kalshi and at a sportsbook. However, it's important to note that sportsbooks and this market have different costs and risk profiles, which can contribute to discrepancies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total number of sacks. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market depth indicates the volume available at different price points, showing how easily large orders can be filled.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of sacks recorded during the Denver versus Kansas City game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, and any disputes will be handled according to Kalshi’s standard procedures. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding injuries to key offensive linemen or defensive players on either the Denver or Kansas City teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect passing plays, could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or player matchups could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could influence trader sentiment and affect prices.