TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 11:44 PM EST
Kalshi
The event centers around a professional football game between two teams. It specifically focuses on whether a particular defensive scoring play is recorded by either team during the match. This scoring play would significantly impact the game's dynamics and the teams' performances.
If Denver or Kansas City record a safety in the Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by trader predictions, aiming for a more accurate reflection of true probabilities. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as more information becomes available and more traders participate. Often, prediction markets are considered to be more accurate forecasts, especially closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the probability of it happening rises accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, providing insights into the level of conviction behind each prediction. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Denver vs Kansas City game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score and any relevant game statistics will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure transparency and accuracy. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their positions on Kalshi following the official game conclusion and verification of the results.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to Sep 15, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Denver or Kansas City teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game conditions, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy could also influence the market. Finally, any major news events impacting the broader NFL landscape could indirectly affect this market as well.