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400,720
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Closed: Sep 14, 11:12 PM EST
Kalshi
The markets focus on predicting whether specific Denver Broncos players will achieve particular rushing attempt thresholds in an upcoming game against the Kansas City Chiefs. Outcomes depend strictly on each player's actual rushing attempts during the contest, with predefined conditions for inactive or snap-less players.
All markets resolve based solely on the number of rushing attempts recorded by designated Denver Broncos players (Kenneth Walker III, J.K. Dobbins, or Bo Nix) in the game against Kansas City on September 14, 2026. For any player listed, if they are active for the game but do not take a single snap—regardless of reason—the market settles at the prevailing fair market price determined before kickoff. However, once a player takes at least one snap, even if that snap is later nullified by penalty, the market outcome is definitively determined by whether their total rushing attempts meet or exceed the specified threshold for that market. No other factors, including game result, scoring, or external circumstances, influence resolution. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each market. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts regarding the likely outcome of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of the expected number of rushing attempts in the Denver vs Kansas City game.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final official statistics for the Denver vs Kansas City game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total number of rushing attempts recorded by both teams during the game, as reported by official sources. The market will determine which contract, representing a specific range of rushing attempts, accurately predicts the final result. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the market's pricing at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be a significant catalyst, as would changes in weather forecasts, potentially impacting the game plan and reliance on the running game. News regarding coaching strategies or adjustments to offensive line personnel could also shift expectations. Even late-breaking news about player availability or unexpected starting lineup changes could lead to substantial price movements in this market as traders react to the new information.