TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 9:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score 14 points first in an upcoming professional football game. It captures the dynamic nature of the contest by focusing on early momentum, with a specific condition for scenarios where neither team reaches the threshold. The outcome reflects real-time gameplay developments rather than the final score.
The event determines whether Denver or Kansas City will be the first to score 14 points in their scheduled game on September 14, 2026, with a third outcome if neither team achieves this milestone. Each market resolves based on the first team to reach 14 points, including any overtime periods. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to commence within 48 hours of its scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The resolution hinges solely on the in-game progression toward the 14-point threshold, not the final score or broader game context.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes sportsbooks might be mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Denver vs Kansas City race to 14 points.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of the Denver vs Kansas City race to 14 points. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, providing insight into potential price movements and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team, Denver or Kansas City, officially reaches 14 points first during the game. The official game statistics will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the team to reach 14 points first will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It's important to monitor the game's progress leading up to Sep 15, 2026.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Denver or Kansas City would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also influence trader sentiment. In-game performance during the early stages of the game, such as early scoring drives or turnovers, will undoubtedly move the market. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, could also contribute to price movements in the Denver vs Kansas City race to 14 points.