TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 11:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Patrick Mahomes will achieve 150 or more passing yards in the Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Mahomes exceeding this yardage threshold. The market will resolve based on whether Bo Nix records 200+ passing yards in the game, as determined by official game statistics. Keep a close watch on the game itself, scheduled for September 14, 2026, as the outcome hinges on Mahomes’ performance during that fixture and will resolve by September 15, 2026.
All markets evaluate Bo Nix's passing yardage performance in the Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game scheduled for September 14, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if Nix achieves the specified passing yard threshold during the game. A key secondary rule applies uniformly across all markets: if Bo Nix is listed as active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once Nix takes at least one snap—regardless of whether those plays are nullified by penalties—the market resolves strictly based on the total passing yards he records during the game. This consistent framework ensures that all outcomes are judged by the same activity and performance standards, providing clarity for participants regarding how each market will be settled.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the potential passing yardage in this game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that specific outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time estimate of expectations for the game. The market efficiently incorporates diverse perspectives and analysis, offering a unique view compared to static odds offered elsewhere.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final official passing yardage statistics for the Denver vs Kansas City game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics released by the NFL, representing the total passing yards achieved by all players during the game. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts align with the final, verified passing yardage total.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact expectations for passing yardage. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or defensive adjustments could shift trader sentiment and affect the price of contracts on Kalshi. Game day performance and in-game adjustments will also be key catalysts.