TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 10:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a specific quarterback in a football game, focusing on how many times his passes are intercepted by the opposing team. The outcome depends on whether the quarterback throws a certain number of interceptions during the match. These markets allow participants to speculate on the defensive pressure faced by the quarterback.
The event evaluates Bo Nix's passing interceptions in the Denver vs Kansas City Pro Football game scheduled for September 14, 2026, across three markets thresholding at 1+, 2+, and 3+ interceptions. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if Bo Nix records the specified minimum number of interceptions during the game. A key secondary rule states that if Bo Nix is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles to the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once Bo Nix takes at least one snap — even if that play is nullified by a penalty — the market outcome is determined solely by the actual number of passing interceptions recorded during his playing time. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by factors like public betting bias. This market, however, allows anyone to participate and express their view, leading to a potentially more objective assessment of the probability of different outcomes. It's common to see prediction markets converge towards the true probability as the event approaches, potentially offering value for informed traders.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing interceptions in the Denver versus Kansas City game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine the final result. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the game and any potential factors that could influence the number of interceptions.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the quarterbacks’ health or playing status – for example, an injury to a key player – would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for passing, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking reports about defensive strategies or changes in coaching personnel could influence trader sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the game’s likely outcome could also affect trading activity in this market.