TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 11:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performance in an upcoming football game, using a specific fantasy-point scoring system to determine outcomes.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points scored by specified players or team defense units in the full game (including overtime) between Denver and Kansas City, using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system. Players who do not participate or lack a fantasy-point value assigned by Sleeper are considered to have scored zero points. The official fantasy-point totals published by Sleeper at the time of game expiration are used for resolution, with no rounding applied and no corrections accepted after expiration. The scoring system awards points for passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, defensive/special teams performances, and includes deductions for interceptions, missed kicks, and fumbles lost.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade contracts, so the price dynamically adjusts based on collective belief. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly, potentially offering an edge to informed participants. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. Each contract represents a specific range of total fantasy points for the Denver vs Kansas City game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more trades occur, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy points total for players in the Denver vs Kansas City game, as officially recorded by a major fantasy sports provider, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released after the game's completion, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Denver or Kansas City teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about starting quarterbacks or other significant personnel changes would also be catalysts. Finally, general shifts in public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations.