TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 10:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Denver or Atlanta specifically within the final quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
These markets evaluate whether Atlanta or Denver secures a 4th quarter victory by exceeding specific point differentials in the Denver vs Atlanta Pro Football game scheduled for August 14, 2026. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the 4th quarter of regulation time, with overtime points excluded from calculation. Each market has a distinct threshold: Atlanta must win by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points, while Denver must win by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points for respective resolutions. The outcome hinges solely on the point differential achieved in the final quarter, independent of the overall game result.
Compared to traditional sportsbook lines, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a different risk assessment because they are driven by trader sentiment and speculative positioning rather than set by oddsmakers. While sportsbooks may adjust lines based on public betting patterns and historical data, this market prices in real-time based on how traders evaluate the teams’ likely performance in the fourth quarter alone. This can lead to notable differences, especially if unexpected news or injuries surface before the game.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread score for the fourth quarter will be compared against the market's defined terms at that time, closing all positions based on the actual game result.
Injuries to key players, coaching strategies announced ahead of the game, and even early-game momentum that hints at a strong fourth-quarter performance can all shift this market. Weather conditions on game day, star player performance in practice reports, and any last-minute lineup changes may also cause traders to adjust their positions. As the game approaches, any news that affects the teams’ likely scoring or defensive effectiveness in the final quarter will influence trader sentiment and move odds.