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Denver Summit FC vs. Houston Dash
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Denver Summit FC vs. Houston Dash?

Volume:
$906,099

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 13, 2026

Closed: Jul 12, 9:20 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$360,997
N/A
N/A
$203,823
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Denver Summit FC vs. Houston Dash)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,469
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denver Summit FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$271,212
N/A
N/A
$160,195
Settled
No
polymarket

Denver Summit FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,425
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Houston

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$253,437
N/A
N/A
$182,800
Settled
No
polymarket

Houston Dash

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,559
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a professional NWSL soccer match between Denver Summit FC and Houston Dash on July 12, 2026, based on the result after 90 minutes of regulation play. The aggregated consensus across Polymarket and Kalshi shows a 100.0% probability for a draw, with a Denver Summit FC win at 0.1%. Resolution will be determined by the official NWSL Soccer website. Watch for the match kickoff on July 12, 2026, as cancellation or postponement could trigger different settlement outcomes across platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling diverges between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market YES upon full cancellation, while win markets resolve NO. Kalshi does not specify cancellation logic, leaving resolution ambiguous in that scenario.Hero tip: Monitor for any cancellation announcements. If the game is canceled with no make-up, Polymarket traders holding draw positions will win while win-position holders lose; Kalshi's behavior is undefined and may require manual settlement review. Hedge or clarify Kalshi's cancellation policy before significant capital deployment.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Denver win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO, Houston win YES/NO). Draw market uniquely resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up; both win markets resolve NO in that scenario. All markets reference official NWSL statistics within 2 hours post-event, or credible reporting consensus if official stats delayed. Covers 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Three separate binary markets (Denver win, Houston win, Tie), each resolving YES if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Implies exactly one outcome resolves YES in normal circumstances, but cancellation behavior is unspecified.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming NWSL game, scheduled for Sunday, July 12, 2026 between Denver Summit FC and Houston Dash.

Kalshi

This event covers the professional NWSL soccer match between Denver Summit FC and Houston scheduled for July 12, 2026. Resolution is based on the final result after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded from consideration. The match outcome will be classified as a win for either Denver Summit FC or Houston, or as a tie if both teams have equal goals at the conclusion of regulation time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than two weeks away from the original July 12 date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with established procedures.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate real-time trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market's odds reflect what thousands of independent participants are willing to stake, often revealing sharper or earlier signals than traditional betting lines. Sportsbook odds may lag market-wide information, whereas prediction platforms update instantly as new data emerges. Comparing both sources can highlight mispricing opportunities and validate your own assessment of this matchup.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different odds on the same event for several reasons. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. User bases, liquidity depth, fee structures, and settlement rule nuances create natural arbitrage gaps. Polymarket may attract different trader demographics or risk appetites than Kalshi, leading to temporary mispricings. Geographic restrictions, platform-specific incentives, and the timing of large trades also influence where each platform's price settles. These spreads typically narrow closer to resolution as informed traders exploit discrepancies, but they persist because moving capital between platforms carries friction and regulatory constraints.