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Denver Summit FC vs. Bay FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Denver Summit FC vs. Bay FC?

Volume:
$458,562

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 17, 2026

Closed: Sep 16, 11:42 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$173,369
N/A
N/A
$94,744
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Denver Summit FC vs. Bay FC)

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,219
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Denver Summit FC

View
0%
60%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$175,871
N/A
N/A
$88,901
Settled
No
polymarket

Denver Summit FC

View
0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,635
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bay FC

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$96,376
N/A
N/A
$62,476
Settled
No
polymarket

Bay FC

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,092
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the September 16, 2026 National Women's Soccer League (NWSL) match between Denver Summit FC and Bay FC, specifically whether the game will end in a draw. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%, aggregating views from Polymarket and Kalshi. The resolution source for this market is official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (NWSSL). Denver Summit FC winning has a probability of 0.1%. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 16, 2026, to see if the predicted draw materializes within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms define resolution based on the same timeframe (90 minutes + stoppage time) and use a consistent hierarchy of data sources for determining the outcome.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (NWSSL).

Core resolution logic:

  • The outcome is determined by the result of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, the markets remain open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled, the 'Denver Summit FC wins' and 'Bay FC wins' markets resolve to 'No', and the 'Draw' market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or sooner if official statistics are readily available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming NWSL game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 16, 2026 between Denver Summit FC and Bay FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Denver Summit FC vs Bay FC professional NWSL soccer game scheduled for September 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Denver Summit FC, a win for Bay FC, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as per the defined rules. All markets are independent, with each specifically tied to one of the three possible results.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect a more nuanced and aggregated view than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their own risk, while this market is driven by the collective predictions of individuals. This can lead to differences, especially as new information becomes available. Sportsbooks may also be slower to adjust to breaking news or shifts in public opinion, whereas the price in this market can react more quickly to changes in perceived probability. However, both offer valuable insights for those looking to assess the potential outcome of the Denver Summit FC and Bay FC match.

Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Different user bases, trading volumes, and market-maker strategies on each platform contribute to price discrepancies. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Additionally, the specific question wording, even if functionally equivalent, can influence how traders interpret and price the outcome. The liquidity and depth of the order book on each platform also play a role; lower volume on one venue may lead to greater price volatility and deviation from the consensus view. These differences reflect the independent price discovery processes occurring on each platform.

Several factors could significantly impact the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Denver Summit FC or Bay FC would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Unexpected changes in team formations or coaching strategies could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, weather conditions on game day, or even significant pre-game analysis from sports commentators, could all contribute to price movement. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on opportunities within this market before it resolves.