TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Denver Pioneers vs. Omaha Mavericks (W)
Volume:
$9,014
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between the Denver Pioneers and Omaha Mavericks scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Omaha win and Denver win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with clear win/loss outcomes.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The resolution criteria as written is logically impossible for a binary Yes/No market. Verify with Kalshi support whether this is a documentation error, a different contract type, or a platform bug before placing significant positions. Polymarket's market is resolvable and clear.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard binary winner-take-all structure. Denver win resolves to Denver Pioneers, Omaha win resolves to Omaha Mavericks. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Source: NCAA.com final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Logically contradictory resolution criteria. States both Omaha win AND Denver win resolve to Yes. No specification of what resolves to No or how to distinguish outcomes. This violates basic binary market logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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