TOTAL VOLUME:

$148.4b

24H VOL:

$234,975,482

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,817,056,367

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,876,059,345

466,056

Markets across

35,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,856

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Denmark vs. Portugal
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Denmark vs Portugal?

Volume:
$10,806,403

Portugal

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 1, 2026

Closed: Oct 1, 6:53 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Portugal

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,173,514
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Portugal

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,694,125
N/A
N/A
$2,309,664
Settled
Yes
predict

PRT

View
99%
50%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$36,981
$261,542
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
3%
24%
Yes 3¢No 97¢
—
$8,602
$12,103
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$428,633
N/A
N/A
$231,779
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Denmark vs. Portugal)

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$55,090
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

DEN

View
1%
26%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$387
$34,341
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Denmark

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$782,420
N/A
N/A
$432,390
Settled
No
polymarket

Denmark

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$364,633
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a UEFA Nations League match between Denmark and Portugal, scheduled for October 1, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Portugal winning is 99.0%, while Denmark winning is estimated at 1.0%. This prediction aggregates data from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Keep an eye on the match itself as the October 1, 2026 date signifies both the scheduled game date and the end of the betting period for this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Different platforms have varying approaches to handling game cancellations, particularly regarding the draw market. Polymarket specifies a 'Yes' resolution for draw markets on cancellation, while Kalshi is silent on the matter.Hero tip: Prioritize trading win markets as the core resolution logic is consistent across platforms. Be cautious with the draw market on Polymarket, as a cancellation could lead to a 'Yes' resolution even if the game never occurs.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on official statistics with fallbacks to Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus. If canceled, win markets resolve 'No', draw markets resolve 'Yes'.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit handling of cancellations is defined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Thursday, October 1, 2026 between Denmark and Portugal.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Denmark vs Portugal UEFA Nations League match scheduled for October 1, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: Denmark win, Portugal win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regulation time, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie during regulation, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The operator explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or its associated trademarks.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Thursday, October 1, 2026 between Denmark and Portugal.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Denmark vs. Portugal match from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It provides a consensus view of the likely outcome, currently showing a combined volume of $10,806,403. This allows users to see how different platforms are pricing the same event, offering a more comprehensive understanding than looking at any single market in isolation. The dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for this match, as expressed by traders on each platform, and presents a weighted average to give a broad market estimate.

Prediction market odds, like those reflected in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and the incentive structure. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets allow traders to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark, and arbitrage opportunities may arise when significant discrepancies exist between the two.