TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 10:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the third quarter of an upcoming football game. It captures the competitive performance of both teams during a specific segment of play, highlighting the potential for momentum shifts within the game.
If Kansas City wins the 3rd Quarter of the DEN Broncos vs KC Chiefs Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Denver wins the 3rd Quarter of the DEN Broncos vs KC Chiefs Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 3rd Quarter of the DEN Broncos vs KC Chiefs Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell based on their own analysis. If a significant number of people believe one team is more likely to win the third quarter, the price for that outcome will increase. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities than traditional odds, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either the Broncos or the Chiefs winning the third quarter. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, these prices will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving expectations of the crowd. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on the Kalshi exchange.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the third quarter of the Broncos-Chiefs game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the third quarter will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and final score, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either the Broncos or the Chiefs would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any updates on team strategy or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Even public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market leading up to Sep 15, 2026.