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402,751

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2,632

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DEN Broncos vs KC Chiefs: 3rd Quarter Spread
kalshi

What is the result of DEN Broncos vs KC Chiefs?

Volume:
$342,676

KC Chiefs wins 3Q by over 6.5 points

 - Kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 3Q by over 6.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 10:58 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 3Q by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$80,850
N/A
N/A
$41,649
Settled
Yes
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 3Q by over 1.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$34,607
N/A
N/A
$19,262
Settled
Yes
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 3Q by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26,659
N/A
N/A
$14,763
Settled
Yes
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 3Q by over 3.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,150
N/A
N/A
$10,333
Settled
Yes
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 3Q by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$89,124
N/A
N/A
$68,579
Settled
No
kalshi

KC Chiefs wins 3Q by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$59,738
N/A
N/A
$40,605
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins 3Q by over 14.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,855
N/A
N/A
$8,564
Settled
No
kalshi

DEN Broncos wins 3Q by over 2.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,124
N/A
N/A
$5,103
Settled
No
kalshi

DEN Broncos wins 3Q by over 6.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,994
N/A
N/A
$2,525
Settled
No
kalshi

DEN Broncos wins 3Q by over 7.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,759
N/A
N/A
$2,422
Settled
No
kalshi

DEN Broncos wins 3Q by over 10.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,052
N/A
N/A
$2,818
Settled
No
kalshi

Kansas City wins 3Q by over 17.5 points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,246
N/A
N/A
$2,246
Settled
No
kalshi

DEN Broncos wins 3Q by over 3.5 points

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,518
N/A
N/A
$1,235
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Intro

This market tracks whether the Kansas City Chiefs will win the third quarter of their game against the Denver Broncos by more than 6.5 points. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on the result of the DEN Broncos vs KC Chiefs Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 14, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on the final score at the end of the third quarter on September 15, 2026.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the point differential between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos exclusively during the third quarter of their game scheduled for September 14, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the point margin by which either team must win that quarter to resolve as 'Yes'. If the Chiefs win the third quarter by more than the specified margin—ranging from 1.5 to 10.5 points—the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'. Similarly, if the Broncos win the third quarter by more than the specified margin—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points—the respective market resolves to 'Yes'. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these outcomes, and all markets are independent, meaning each evaluates its own threshold without regard to others. The governing league's official scoring and game records determine resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Broncos-Chiefs 3rd quarter spread tracks the current price of contracts representing predictions on the point differential in the third quarter of the game. You can view the historical price action, giving insight into how the market has perceived the likely outcome over time. It also displays the 24-hour trading volume of $332,461, and the total volume traded to date of $342,676. This allows you to gauge market interest and activity related to this specific matchup.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading contracts based on their own analysis and information. While both aim to predict the same outcome, the dynamics are different, potentially leading to discrepancies. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information and changing sentiment than traditional sportsbooks.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the 3rd quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market. This creates a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.

This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 3rd quarter spread of the Broncos-Chiefs game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the league, and the contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range predicted by the contract purchased. The final score differential in the third quarter will determine which contracts are winners and losers.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Broncos or Chiefs would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's style of play, could also shift the market. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first and second quarters, and any adjustments made by the coaching staffs, could lead traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions, causing the price to fluctuate. Public sentiment and expert analysis can also play a role.