TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 10:08 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance gap between the Denver Broncos and the Kansas City Chiefs specifically during the second quarter of their scheduled football game. It focuses solely on how much one team outscores the other in that quarter, without considering the final game result or other quarters.
The event evaluates whether the Kansas City Chiefs or the Denver Broncos win the second quarter of their Pro Football game by a specified margin. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold, ranging from over 1.5 points to over 10.5 points, for either team. The outcome is determined exclusively by points scored during the second quarter of play. All markets are independent, and only the points accumulated in that specific quarter are considered when resolving the event. The governing league’s official scoring and game records will serve as the definitive source for determining the results.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own independent beliefs about the game's outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook lines can offer a broader perspective on the likely result of the Broncos-Chiefs 2nd quarter spread.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific spread, the price increases, indicating higher confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on the collective intelligence of the market participants, offering a unique perspective on the Broncos-Chiefs 2nd quarter spread.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread in the second quarter of the Broncos-Chiefs game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread falls within the range of contracts purchased, and to 0 for contracts predicting an outcome that does not occur. The final price will reflect the accuracy of the collective predictions made in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Broncos or the Chiefs would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first quarter, or even pre-game reports on team strategies, could all contribute to price movements in this market. Unexpected shifts in public sentiment, as reflected by betting patterns, could also move the Broncos-Chiefs 2nd quarter spread.